Luvs, Labour’s Lost!

Is the mistake is ours? Maybe we assume that our so-called ‘leaders’ are exceptional people, that their ordinariness is just a mask, and that buried deep inside their unimpressive forms  there’s a Churchillian spirit waiting to be unleashed. I wish it were so!

The reality is that our leaders are clever, but they are also really very ordinary and very unimpressive. Leaders? Mmmm…they have the responsibility of leadership, they understand what it is, but have very little idea of its practice. The reality is that our leaders are political technocrats. They work to predetermined party formulas that are meant to give us the impression that they are in control and have the measure of things – and that they are working for the common good, which they are not. Their prime motivation is personal and political survival. They work harder at this than anything else…until….well, until circumstances lay bare their inadequacy and they have to deliver something big to survive.  That’s where we are now.

Today, Miliband cuts a rather pathetic figure. Everything is catching up with him. His technocratic instincts tell him that he must fight his political opponents point by point. (Blind to the fact that his agenda is being set for him!) Viewed from inside his Westminster cocoon that might seem the right thing to do, but from the outside it’s a very boring, uninspiring spectacle. And the worrying thing is that he doesn’t seem to understand why we find it so unutterably boring and uninspiring.  Even more worrying is that it appears he doesn’t know what the answer is…and it’s really not all that difficult!

Swingeing austerity should have been a gift to a Labour opposition. They should be fifteen points ahead in the opinion polls. Loyal Labour supporters have been waiting in anticipation for big new ideas, but they have failed to materialise. As the election draws closer it’s becoming more apparent that there are no big ideas, no radical new policies. All that Labour supporters are going to get are technical ‘tweaks’ to existing coalition policies. To be blunt, Labour has been more than useless, they have been utterly, utterly wet, and they are about to pay a heavy price…actually, we are about to pay a very heavy price, which hurts – a lot!

Is there still time? Just, but the dead weight of the party machine and the ‘cleverer than thou’ Hampstead Labour elite will probably sink any new initiative or any new big idea. Look what happened last weekend when Ed announced that he was planning to scrap the House of Lords and introduce some better form of regional representation. A big idea if ever there was one! The announcement happened on a Saturday and hardly anybody noticed. Reason? Because it was a hastily dredged up ‘big idea’ that Ed had been frightened to voice.

We are witnessing a race to the bottom of the political mini-talents. What the country needs is a new political order, new political parties and new big ideas. Too much to ask? Just wait and see!

 

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Scotland could hold the balance of power at Westminster – the ultimate irony!

Mirror, mirror“This castle has a pleasant seat; Nimbly and sweetly recommends itself unto our gentle senses”

Words that Alex Salmond, leader of the 40+ victorious SNP MPs could be uttering as they enter Westminster next year having demolished Scottish Labour in the general election –  and it could be that they hold the balance of power in their hands. Possible? Not only is it possible, it is becoming increasingly likely as support for Scottish Labour tanks.

For more than half a century most of Scotland has been tribal Labour, but now all that is changing. Labour supporters in Scotland feel they’ve been taken for granted by the Labour leadership and many are beginning to realise that years of blind, unquestioning support for Labour has done them little good. Housing in the east end of Glasgow is terrible; there is still real poverty in the city and the level of unemployment remains stubbornly high. Scottish Labour councils are as bureaucratic, corrupt and self-serving as they ever were. Lazy, knucklehead Labour councillors reign supreme, but have delivered little. Labour has been sussed. It is about to pay a very heavy price.

But is the catalyst for this mass desertion just about a general dissatisfaction with Labour? Not totally. It’s about a betrayal of trust, but it’s even more about people believing that their vote can make a difference. The referendum proved that to them. The ‘Yes’ vote might not have triumphed, but it mobilised support for its cause in a spectacular manner, particularly in Glasgow, and somehow it was a like a liberation, people felt free to trash their traditional voting habits. Having done it once, they will be quite prepared to do it again. The referendum ‘Yes’ vote was a vote in favour of Scottish independence, but it was also a vote against the established political order and against Westminster.

The Westminster political establishment threw everything in its armoury to secure a ‘No’ vote. It succeeded. It may have won the battle, but it is losing the peace. Within hours of the ‘No’ victory, ‘perfidious Dave’ was busy reneging on his promises. This may have been a tactic to precipitate a problem for Labour, but the outcome of his perfidy may not be quite what he is expecting. Why? Because it’s the ‘No’ voters who feel the sense of betrayal the deepest. At the general election it will be their votes that send 40+ SNP MPs to Westminster.

The outcome of the general election is going to be fascinating. Without its Scottish Labour seats it’s unlikely Labour will have a majority. The Tories may be overwhelmed by UKIP, the English political Ebola. The Libdems? They will probably disappear into oblivion. And the ultimate irony is that we could end up with a Labour / SNP coalition. Wow! That’s an outcome no Scottish Nationalist would ever have thought possible – except the clever wee bastard, Alex!

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Ed is proud to announce the arrival of a ‘Big Idea’!

Big IdeaWe’ve waited a long time for a ‘big idea’ from Labour and then out of the blue comes the announcement that it’s going to abolish the House of Lords…no  fanfare for this momentous news, it dribbled out over the airwaves on Saturday morning almost apologetically. Why be so coy Ed? This is something that needs to be shouted from the hilltops. Be bold, for heaven’s sake!

We need radical new thinking about the way the Union is governed and we need bold new ideas. Abolishing the House of Lords is long overdue. It is anachronistic, unelected and well past its sell by date. It should be replaced by a House of Representatives – Senate if you like, but it’s not the best description. The new House needs to be filled with representatives from Regional Assemblies in England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. Yes, we do need regional assemblies in England. The regionalisation of England is long overdue. The current system of local government is cumbersome complicated and inefficient. England must have a means to devolve power to the regions effectively, and regionalisation is the best way to do this.

A House of Representatives means that there would be regional representation at the heart of government. Having it outside London is a nonsense. Look at the Bundesrat example and copy it!  It works well, it should do because we helped to set it up after the last war.  Let’s not have some appalling British compromise where we try and take everybody’s opinion into account and produce a dogs dinner. Let’s not shovel money to cities. Cities belong in a region, they are a regional focus point, they don’t need to be some separate entity.

Abolishing the House of Lords and establishing a House of Representatives will really resonate with the electorate. They really hate the House of Lords. It stands for everything that is wrong with Britain today. Regionalisation is so badly needed, not some mealy-mouthed compromise, the real thing. It needs courage and determination to drive through this reform. Does Labour have the bottle?

 

 

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Austerity, a cruel, but deliberate deception

Nearly five years into the ‘Osborne austerity’ and we are faced with the unedifying spectacle of the two major political parties competing to see who can deliver the best austerity. “Vote for us, we can deliver better misery, more bankruptcies and greater inequality”.  Are we really going to buy this nonsense? Clearly the Tories believe we will, and Labour don’t seem to have, or dare to have, any better ideas.

For five years now we have been fed the line that austerity is the only way to deal with the deficit. There is no alternative if the deficit is to be reduced. This has been a cruel, but deliberate deception.

Fed half truths and blinded by a fog of political verbiage, we have been duped into believing that austerity is the only answer. It isn’t. There are alternatives, alternatives that would not have put thousands of businesses out of business, driven hundreds to suicide, destroyed the welfare state, condemned millions to a life of penury and allowed  the wealthy few to accumulate even greater wealth. But there was never any mention of alternatives. No, austerity was an opportunity that no true blue Tory could pass by. Milton Friedman and his Chicago free market gangsters would have been proud of the boy Osborne. He grasped the opportunity that crisis offered and the trauma of shock to drive through his selfish, destructive, dishonest agenda – and we swallowed his medicine with hardly a peep.

What is so appalling about the austerity programme is that a. It isn’t necessary, there are better alternatives and b. that Osborne and his party cohorts are prepared to see through an austerity programme that does deliberate harm to the poorer members of society to satisfy a twisted party ideology.

Osborne’s cry that “we’re all in this together” is very much part of his cruel deception, for in together we are not! For the very wealthy and most of the middle class, the real pain of austerity has been skilfully manoeuvred passed them. The tribal Tory constituency must remain inviolate.  And yet it is in the hidden advantages allowed to this constituency, and beyond the knowledge of ‘ordinary’ folk, that the alternatives to austerity exist.

So what are some of the alternatives to austerity?  Let’s take tax reliefs, there are nearly 1300 of them. The total annual cost to the Treasury is estimated to be nearly £100 billion. £20 billion of this is pension contribution tax relief, a very middle class perk. There must be at least £50billion to be saved from tax reliefs. Tax. Every year HMRC fail to collect £35 billion in tax revenues, an enormous sum. Reason? An over complicated tax system that is crying out for reform, and a Chancellor who deliberately slashes HMRC funding resulting in fewer tax inspectors. And what of a specific tax to deal with the debt problem? The Germans introduced a ‘solidarity tax’ to pay for reunification. This is a very fair tax because it is based on taxed income so those who pay more tax contribute most. So far it has raised over £120 billion. Surely a specific tax to raise revenue to deal with the debt crisis would have been a far more sensible thing to do than to impose a cruel austerity on those who are innocent of the crimes that caused the financial crisis? And to introduce an austerity that crippled confidence and slashed much needed tax revenues has got to be one of the stupidest reactions to the crisis. But then there is Osborne’s party political agenda, that is clearly more of an imperative than the common good of the British people.

There are alternatives to austerity, there always have been, but this government has chosen to ignore them and impose a cruel, but deliberate deception. They must pay the price in 2015.

 

 

 

 

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Many Happy Returns!

Dave 2

The book isn’t finished, but I can’t be doing with the restriction of 140 characters any longer! There’s a lot going on and things are starting to heat up nicely. Check out ‘AN AGENDA FOR REFORM’ in the menu bar above, and let me know what you think. Pass it on to others if you agree.

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I’m taking time out!

I’ve got a book to finish and I need to give it my full attention…I’ll be back – probably in about six months.

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The British Constitution needs booked into the Priory

I came across this brilliant white board animation of Professor Stein Ringen’s assessment of New Labour and the state of the British Constitution purely by accident. It’s fascinating and his conclusions are absolutely on the money. See if you agree!

Stein Ringen is Professor of Sociology and Social Policy at the University of Oxford

 

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Why would anyone ever vote Libdem again? What might change peoples’ mind?

Regardless of the result of the Eastleigh by-election, it’s a racing certainty that the LibDems are going to be annihilated in 2015. Political oblivion beckons, and it may be that the party will cease to exist. So, if you were a Libdem, what would you do?

The current leadership seems to be in denial, convinced that ‘something will turn up’. Like most politicians they believe in miracles. If you’re a Libdem right now, you have to, there’s nothing else…or is there?

Desperate times call for desperate measures. There needs to be a coup. Yes, a good old fashioned coup. A coup to get rid of the tarnished Clegg, and to set the ‘new Libdems’ apart from their Tory appeasing fellow travellers. Who should lead the coup and replace Clegg? Cable is the only real option because he’s one of the few Libdem MPs who has managed to retain some of his credibility over the past two and a half years – and one the public believe.

But the cunning part of this plan would be to orchestrate a very public attack on the Tories. For the new leader to set himself apart from the Clegg era,  from the disastrous Tory policies they have endorsed, and engineer the downfall of the coalition to…wait for it… to save the nation!

By really saving the nation from the idiot Osborne and the feckless Cameron, the Libdems could hang on to some of their credibility and live to fight another day. It would take careful planning and need to be choreographed to a tee.  This about the survival of the party. The Libdems need to get moving. The window of opportunity is very small.

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Contrived contrition and a game of Banksters’ Bluff

Barclays like doing their dirty washing before anybody else does. And so it was this week when a well- rehearsed Antony Jenkins, their fresh-faced new chief executive, was pushed in front of the cameras to tell us that from now on it’s all going to be different at Barclays, that they’ve ‘learned lessons’ (if I hear that phrase once more I’ll scream – it’s bankers’ speak for ‘we’ve no intention of changing and nobody’s going to gaol, so there!’) and to apologise (only with prodding) for the appalling behaviour of the bank.

One of the best interviews with Mr Jenkins was conducted by Jon Snow (see video). Jenkins started off by apologising for his role in the PPI fraud when he was head of Barclaycard. Very nice of him, I suppose. I couldn’t help thinking that he should have been sewing mail bags in Pentonville, not sitting in a television studio.

Jenkins looked decidedly uncomfortable when pressed on the interest rate swaps scandal, and had no answer as to why Barclays had been insisting businesses service these loans despite the fact that they had known for years that they were a scam. As Jon pointed out to a spluttering Mr Jenkins, the behaviour of his bank has resulted in suicides, bankruptcies and total ruin for many. Jenkins looked decidedly uncomfortable, but his admission that his bank had been self-serving and aggressive will mean absolutely nothing to those whose lives have been ruined.

Are we to believe Mr Jenkins when he says he is going to change the culture of Barclays? Why should we? Banks have betrayed our trust. They’ve confiscated our money and paid it to themselves – and they’re still doing it. Future generations might have reasons to trust banks again: this generation never will.

My day was made on Wednesday morning when, following another interview with the said Mr Jenkins on the Today programme, Evan Davis asked David Jackman, formally Head of Ethics at the FSA (ethics at the FSA – who would have believed it!) and Julie Meyer CEO of Ariadne Capital, to comment on what Jenkins had to say.  I have transcribed what Julie said, because what she had to say about the role of banks and bankers has needed to be said for a very long time.

Welcoming what Jenkins had to say as ‘all the right words’, she went on to say:

“If we look throughout history, the role of capital has been to follow ideas. The role of the financier has been to back the industrialist of the day. Financial services went awry when it started thinking of itself as an industry. It’s not, it’s a service industry. It can create a lot more money than it has, but it has to think of that money differently. It has to think of it as helping other people make money. If it measures its success by the overall GDP of the country or by how many digital industrialists, industrialists or entrepreneurs or major firms that it helped to take the global stage: if that’s the metric of its success then it will indeed make a lot of money and Antony Jenkins will keep his job. However, if they continue to think of themselves as ‘masters of the universe’ where they’re merely playing with other people’s money, and frankly not making money, they’re just go-betweens. If the universe has rules which enable them to act as adolescents most of the time, they never have to think that hard. But if the rules of the universe are set so they actually have to deal with the things the entrepreneur and the industrialist have to deal with day in, day out, then they may understand what being a productive member of society is all about”

She went on to say:

“I think as a society we glorify bankers, and I think we have to watch ourselves because I think if we’re honest, if life were a video game, to be a white male banker would be the lowest level of difficulty. The system allows them to ‘achieve’ relatively easily and society then praises them for achieving the lowest level of difficulty.  Instead, if we were to look at the people who are really achieve, teachers, nurses, entrepreneurs and industrialists, these people don’t get anywhere near the same social recognition. I think we have to ask ourselves some bigger questions. This is about people who ‘worship’ bankers, at dinner parties, at their clubs in Mayfair, and allow them to think of themselves as masters of the universe despite the fact that it’s the lowest level of difficulty.”

Spot on Julie, spot on!

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When will the US stop paying Israel to annex the West Bank?

The recent Israeli election clipped Netanyahu’s wings, but there is little doubt he will be the next Israeli prime minister. Who will be his coalition partner is yet to be decided, but it could be the extreme right wing Jewish Home party, whose avowed intent is to bring about the complete annexation of the West Bank. The discussions in the coming months are not going to be about a two state solution or even a one state solution. Israel has no interest in discussing anything with anyone whatever the make-up of the coalition.

Israel’s policy of ‘creeping annexation’ is effectively funded by the United States, and over the last four years, has gone unchallenged by their paymasters. Britain has been shamefully silent too, but that’s to be expected as most of our politicians are in the pay of Zionist lobby ‘benefactors’: their silence has been bought. Israel thinks it can do what it likes, and its doing just that. Its aim is simple, the complete annexation of the West Bank.

The only way this travesty can be stopped is for the US to pull the plug on the billions of dollars it gives to Israel each year. Is that going to happen? The signs are not good, but Obama, and a growing number of Americans, are getting a tad browned off by Israel’s antics and blatant disrespect for their benefactor.

It’s an open secret that Obama can’t stand Netanyahu and maybe, just maybe Netanyahu has overplayed his hand. The election showed that Obama needn’t have worried quite as much as he did about the Jewish vote, and despite millions of Israeli lobby dollars going to Netanyahu’s favourite party, the Republicans, it didn’t do them much good.

However, not to be seen to have been outdone, the Israeli lobby want to demonstrate to all, and Obama in particular, that they have real muscle and can control events if they so wish, which is why they are trying to trash the nomination of Chuck Hagel as Secretary of Defence. Interesting times! Here is A J Rosenberg’s take on events in Washington.

US interests are being damaged by Israel’s current shift to the extreme Right, so why not nominate Chuck Hagel?

Thus far, President Barack Obama is sitting out the January 22 Israeli elections. There is no indication about who he hopes to see as the next Israeli prime minister. His noninterference, even disinterest, is not surprising except when contrasted with Prime Minister Netanyahu’s open preference for the Republicans in the US election two months ago. One might have thought that a little payback would be in order.

One reason for Obama’s apparent indifference may be that there is almost no possibility that Netanyahu will not be the next prime minister. The only question is whether Netanyahu’s next government will be as far right (and pro-settlement expansion) as his current government or much farther to the right.

To put the Israeli election in US terms, it is as if the choice two months ago was between the right-wing Republican Party and the ultra-right-wing Tea Party with the Democrats merely hoping to win enough support to compose a credible opposition or to get a cabinet post.

But that is the case in Israel where Netanyahu and Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman’s Likud-Beytenu coalition is being challenged by a new party to its right, the Jewish Home party. The Jewish Home party is led by 40-year-old Naftali Bennett who is running on an openly annexationist platform, in contrast to Netanyahu and Lieberman who, although also expansionist, occasionally pay lip service to the idea of reaching a two-state agreement with the Palestinians.

Less attention to the Israeli election

Bennett favours the immediate annexation of 60 percent of the West Bank immediately which would make the creation of a viable Palestinian state impossible. His 60 percent plan is rejected by other leading figures in his party – even more radical – who favour a 100 percent annexation just to make sure.

Needless to say, the new party is dominated by ultra-nationalist settlers and religious fanatics who, in addition to supporting land grabs, vehemently oppose equal rights for gays, women, Arabs and non-Jews in general. Nonetheless, Jewish Home is the first choice of Israelis under 30, who are abandoning the old right-wing parties for the extreme right.

Perhaps the craziest thing is that the new ultra-right party is rising as the Netanyahu/Lieberman party has shifted rightward, too. Gone are the more pragmatic Likud types like Benny Begin and Dan Meridor. In their place are the likes of Moshe Feiglin who told the Atlantic‘s Jeff Goldberg:

“Why should non-Jews have a say in the policy of a Jewish state?” Feiglin said to me. “For two thousand years, Jews dreamed of a Jewish state, not a democratic state. Democracy should serve the values of the state, not destroy them.” In any case, Feiglin said, “You can’t teach a monkey to speak and you can’t teach an Arab to be democratic. You’re dealing with a culture of thieves and robbers… The Arab destroys everything he touches.”

Feiglin isn’t alone either. Take a look at this list of rightist extremists who top the Netanyahu-Lieberman list, yet who are seen as too moderate for voters drawn to the up and coming new party.

The interesting thing is that few Americans are paying any attention to the Israeli election, a sign that even the pro-Israel community is losing interest in and hope for Israel. A country that once was a source of joy for so many Americans is now a source of pain; the prevailing attitude seems to be to just look away and hope that things will improve by the next time they pay attention.

But then it doesn’t really matter what most Americans think or don’t think about what is happening in Israel. Except for one.

The President of the United States matters very much. Every Israeli is aware that without the support of President Obama, Israel would be in desperate straits. The United States provides Israel with billions of dollars of aid a year, aid which is used to purchase the weapon systems that sustains Israel’s “military edge” which enables it to both maintain the occupation and defend itself.

That aid also provides Israel with the economic cushion it needs to preserve its immunity to the recession that has afflicted most of the world. It is the President of the United States who decides whether to stand (virtually alone) with Israel at the United Nations, using our veto to block any resolution that Israel opposes. It is the President who has adopted Israel’s position on Iranian nuclear development as our own, leading the effort to punish Iran with sanctions and reiterating Israeli threats that there will be war if Iran develops nuclear weapons (despite the fact that Israel is said to have some 200 warheads).

Dependent on the US President 

In short, Israel is almost entirely dependent on the President of the United States. As for Congress, it matters too but, on all foreign policy matters, it is the President who leads. That is how the United States Constitution works. It is the President who defends the national interest abroad.

And the fact is that US interests are being damaged by Israel’s current course. Whether we like it or not, the United States is viewed as linked at the hip with Israel. An Israeli government dominated by ultra-nationalists, racists and fascists impacts on our standing throughout the world. After all, the world (and not just the Muslim world) understands that we are Israel’s enabler.

That is why it is time for President Obama to send a clear message to Israel by nominating former Senator Chuck Hagel to be Secretary of Defence. That is not because Hagel is anti-Israel. He isn’t.

The reason to nominate Hagel, in addition to his qualifications for the post, is that the Israel lobby has decided to demonstrate its clout by preventing his nomination. Like the National Rifle Association, the lobby has an intense need to demonstrate that it’s in charge. It does not like Hagel, so he will not get the post. Successfully blocking him will demonstrate that no matter how far Israel lurches toward the right, no matter how many settlements are built, no many how many Palestinians are thrown off their land or just abused, the United States will simply grin and bear it.

Obama could, of course, issue a statement or deliver a speech re-stating US policy on settlements, a Palestinian state, and the need for peace. But the sad fact is that no one believes that this administration will ever back up its fine words on Israel and Palestine with deeds, not after the past four years of giving in to Netanyahu over and over again. There is only one way to send a message to Israel that will be heard: It will be by nominating Hagel. It is Israel and the lobby that created the Hagel issue. Why not use it to America’s advantage? And Israel’s too. After all, it is Israel not the United States that seems to be going over a cliff and, sadly, it is not just fiscal.

Mr President, nominate Hagel. And fight for his confirmation. As for the lobby, let it do what it wants. Out in the open, for a change.

MJ Rosenberg served as a Senior Foreign Policy Fellow with Media Matters Action Network and prior to that worked on Capitol Hill for various Democratic members of the House and Senate for 15 years. He was also a Clinton political appointee at USAID.

 

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